Global Individual Equity Trade Rationale

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The industrial and energy sectors have been the best performing US equity sectors since the 12/24/18 lows with gains of 21.8% and 19.8% respectively as of 2/7/181. We have been over weight each in our Global Individual Equity strategy during this time frame as we believed sentiment was too bearish and both had fallen to levels where there was more opportunity than risk. With the bounce seen since the lows however, we now believe the risk/return outlook is now better-balanced at best for industrials and energy. As a result, we reduced our exposure to each from an overweight to neutral allocations, and reduced beta within the industrial sector overall. Within our industrial exposure, we sold German conglomerate Siemens (SIEGY) entirely as it had been a poor performer with worries over German and global growth. We also trimmed positions in Cummins (CMI), Delta (DAL) and UPS (UPS) in order to further reduce the overweight. In order to reduce the beta within the industrial exposure overall, we used part of the trimming proceeds to add modest new positions Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Honeywell (HON). In the energy sector, we simply trimmed our position in French integrated Total (TOT) to get the sector exposure down to neutral. We let the net cash proceeds from these trades flow to cash in order to have some additional dry powder in case we see a return of downside market volatility after the quick run up in equities generally year to date. Finally, we hard rebalanced the strategy for all positions to target weights.

As always, we appreciate your confidence in our team and are always available for questions.

Fundamentum Investment Committee
Chad Roope, CFA-Portfolio Manager
Paul Danes, CFA - Investment Committee
Trevor Forbes - Investment Committee
Matt Dunn, CFA - Chief Compliance Officer


1 Morningstar Direct

Investment advice offered through Fundamentum LLC a registered investment advisor. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the investment objective of any investment strategy will be attained. Investing involves risk including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

The information contained in this message is being transmitted to and is intended for the use of only the individual(s) to whom it is addressed.  If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient, you are hereby advised that any dissemination, distribution or copying of this message is strictly prohibited.  If you have received this message in error, please immediately delete.

Tactical Trade Rationale

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This past Friday, given the near 13% rally in US equities off the Christmas Eve lows 1 , we paired back equity exposure to a neutral position versus benchmarks in the Fundamentum Tactical Portfolios. We came into the 4th quarter of 2018 with ample cash (8-9%) and used the market weakness throughout the quarter to nibble at equities. This resulted in our Tactical strategies being 3-5% overweight equities relative their neutral positions coming into 2019. We believed sentiment was too bearish and equities had fallen to levels where there was more opportunity than risk, warranting the overweight. With the bounce seen since the lows however, we believe the risk/return outlook is now better-balanced necessitating a neutral allocation as we head into the thick of earnings season. The risks in front of the market are largely the same. They are fundamental (slowing global economic growth with the accompanying reductions in earnings expectations for U.S. companies), geopolitical (binary potential outcomes on Brexit negotiations, U.S./China trade talks and a new potential U.S. government shutdown), and policy-oriented (global monetary and fiscal measures). Until we get more clarity on these risks throughout the rest of the quarter, we think more acute volatility could return. Therefore, with the trades implemented Friday, we simply wanted to take a few chips off the table until we learn more. As always, we appreciate your confidence in our team and are always available for questions.

Fundamentum Investment Committee
Chad Roope, CFA-Portfolio Manager
Paul Danes, CFA - Investment Committee
Trevor Forbes - Investment Committee
Matt Dunn, CFA - Chief Compliance Officer


1 Morningstar Direct

Investment advice offered through Fundamentum LLC a registered investment advisor. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the investment objective of any investment strategy will be attained. Investing involves risk including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

The information contained in this message is being transmitted to and is intended for the use of only the individual(s) to whom it is addressed.  If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient, you are hereby advised that any dissemination, distribution or copying of this message is strictly prohibited.  If you have received this message in error, please immediately delete.